A vision for shipping in 2040 4 Monitoring how change is happening to achieve Vision 2040 5 2012 to 2015: How has the future changed? Several innovations are included in Global Trends 2030, including: a review of the four previous Global Trends reports, input from academic and other experts around the world, coverage of disruptive technologies, and a chapter on the potential trajectories for the US role in the international system and the possible the impact on future international relations. Global trends 2040: A more contested world Documents and publications Source National Intelligence Council Publication Year 2021 ISBN/ISSN/DOI 9781929667338 (ISBN) Number of pages 156 p. This report constructs its analysis of the future in several stages. document.write(''); Copyright 2022 eBooks Links All Rights Reserved. Global Trends 2040. "The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." . Second, we analyze how these structural forces and other factorscombined with human responsesaffect emerging dynamics in societies, states, and the international system. 2021-12-24 03:55:04. endobj
Global Trends 2040 identifies four structural forces that will shape the future demographics, the environment, economics, and technology and assesses how they affect decisions and outcomes. Table of Contents: Introduction 1 Megatrends 6 Individual Empowerment 8 Poverty Reduction 8 An Expanding Global Middle Class 8 Education and the Gender Gap 10 Role of Communications Technologies 11 Improving Health 11 A MORE CONFLICTED IDEOLOGICAL LANDSCAPE 12 Diffusion of Power 15 THE RISE AND FALL OF COUNTRIES: NOT THE SAME OLD STORY 17 THE LIMITS OF HARD POWER IN THE WORLD OF 2030 18 Demographic Patterns 20 Widespread Aging 20 Shrinking Number of Youthful Countries 22 A New Age of Migration 23 The World as Urban 26 Growing Food, Water, and Energy Nexus 30 Food, Water, and Climate 30 A Brighter Energy Outlook 34 Game-Changers 38 The Crisis-Prone Global Economy 40 The Plight of the West 40 Crunch Time Too for the Emerging Powers 43 A Multipolar Global Economy: Inherently More Fragile? It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. The NIC has delivered Global Trends to each incoming or returning U.S. presidential administration since 1997 as an unclassified assessment of the strategic environment, reflecting a broad range of expert opinion in the United States and abroad. . PDF Document Global Trends 2040: Director of National Intelligence (.gov) GlobalTrends_2040.pdf of the variability of human choices that will be made in the future. First, we examine structural forces in demographics, environment, economics, and technology that shape the contours of our future world. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the worlds available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the worlds trading system. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a @L,_dS.i"$!m0zR{Z {)ieo4s&K5zRM(;N4a?#,%_q,.8aX9hLn&BY 3 McxOvQ3b\,*/ueJdq.fv~14#. WELCOME TO GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 Welcome to the 7th edition of the National Intelligence Council's Global Trends report. The engineering design community needs to development tools and methods now to support emerging technological and societal trends. All books are in clear copy here, and all files are secure so don't worry about it. Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. 'format' : 'iframe', The report is intended to stimulate strategic thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global . Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. Click Download or Read Online button to get Global Trends 2040 book now. Amid the myriad of geopolitical and macroeconomic challenges, and growing talk of a global recession, VC investors have taken a cautious approach to their investments this quarter. Fast Download speed and no annoying ads. It ends with a series of graphics displaying key demographic trends in nine geographic regions. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. <>
}; Learn more about the report from the Director of the NICs Strategic Futures Group, MariaLangan-Riekhof. This report . Led by a team of young RAND researchers, this collection of work spans the globe and crosses different disciplinesfrom nuclear strategy, to economics, to anthropology. The world is, for the most part, actually getting better. Global Trends is designed to provide an analytic framework for policymakers early in each administration as they craft national security strategy and navigate an uncertain future. The National Intelligence Council recently published the 7th edition of their Global Trends report: ' Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World .' This intelligence assessment is "designed to provide an analytic framework for policymakers early in each administration as they craft national security strategy and navigate an uncertain future. Global Trends 2040 identifies four structural forces that will stream
Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. The second provides more context on the key global trends in train. Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World is an unclassified assessment of the forces and dynamics that the NIC anticipates are likely to shape the national security environment over the next 20 years. The Great Demographic Reversal written by Charles Goodhart and has been published by Springer Nature this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-08 with Business & Economics categories. 'key' : 'ace386e6628486c64d89a4020f439146', Previous Global Trends editions forecasted the potential for new diseases and even imagined scenarios with a pandemic, but we lacked a full picture of the breadth and depth of its disruptive potential. Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know, Napoleons Guns 1792-1815: Field Artillery v. 1, The Project Resource Manual Prm Csi Manual Of Practice 5th Edition, Friends, Lovers, and the Big Terrible Thing, : Office of the Director of National Intelligence Council, : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform, : National Intelligence Council and Office. Think tank summary of things to come. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the worlds economy may be going. World population will peak at 89 billion before the end of this century, as the global fertility rate continues its fall from 6 children per woman in 1960 to the current rate of 2.4. How to Read Global Strategic Trends This is the fourth edition of Global Strategic Trends. This book addresses the rising productivity gap between the global frontier and other firms, and identifies a number of structural impediments constraining business start-ups, knowledge diffusion and resource allocation (such as barriers to up-scaling and relatively high rates of skill mismatch). As with the NIC's previous Global Trends reports, we do not seek to predict the future, which would be an impossible feat, but instead provide a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Office of the Director ofNational Intelligence. This edition of Global Trends revolves around a core argument about how the changing nature of power is increasing stress both within countries and between countries, and bearing on vexing transnational issues. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. Richer countries shift to help poorer ones manage the crisis and then transition to low carbon economies through broad aid programs and transfers of advanced energy technologies, recognizing how rapidly these global challenges spread across borders. While many forecasts exist for technological and societal. In-depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public, private and academic sources were employed in the production of Global Trends 2030. Global Trends 2040 - GT2040-Executive-Summary - Read online for free. T Tsoy6+b'F' But 58 percent of people in 17 countries who were surveyed in 2016 thought that the world was either getting worse or staying the same. Addeddate. 'params' : {} 100 or more 7 - 100 0 - 7 2 - 0 Less than 2 Not in FM sample 100 or more 7 - 100 0 - 7 2 - 0 Less than 2 Not in FM sample NATIONAL DEBT AS A PERCENTAGE OF GDP Source: nternational Monetary Fund PRE-GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS COVID-19 A MORE CONTESTED WORLD 45. Americans were even more glum: 65 percent thought the world was getting worse and only 6 percent thought it was getting better. The Global Trends 2040: A More Contested World report was produced by the United States' National Intelligence Council as part of the Global Trends project which is designed to provide an analytic framework for the incoming US president and the new administration. Download Global Trends 2030 full books in PDF, epub, and Kindle. But HG said to find an opiate for the end in his last book just before the drop of the Bomb on Hiroshima. The shape of things to come. This edition of Global Trends constructs its analysis of the future in several stages. Published every four years since 1997, Global Trends assesses the key trends and uncertainties that will shape the strategic environment for the United States during the next two decades. Ten Global Trends Every Smart Person Should Know written by Ronald Bailey and has been published by Cato Institute this book supported file pdf, txt, epub, kindle and other format this book has been release on 2020-08-31 with Social Science categories. Download Global Trends 2040 PDF/ePub, Mobi eBooks by Click Download or Read Online button. 55 Global Multilateral Cooperation 55 The Potential for Increased Conflict 59 INTRASTATE CONFLICT: CONTINUED DECLINE 59 Interstate Conflict: Chances Rising 61 Wider Scope of Regional Instability 70 The Middle East: At a Tipping Point 70 South Asia: Shocks on the Horizon 75 East Asia: Multiple Strategic Futures 76 Europe: Transforming Itself 78 Sub-Saharan Africa: Turning a Corner by 2030? This site is like a library, Use search box in the widget to get ebook that you want. The report is intended to help policymakers and citizens anticipate and prepare for a range of possible futures. 46 The Governance Gap 48 Governance Starts at Home: Risks and Opportunities 48 INCREASED FOCUS ON EQUALITY AND OPENNESS 53 NEW GOVERNMENTAL FORMS 54 A New Regional Order? Acknowledges that democracy is kaput but may be reborn by 2040, America leading the way. Whatever the future holds, the authors argue, it will be nothing like the past. Request an accessible format. Discover our mission: IC principles, history, and success stories, Check out Bin Laden's Bookshelf, IC on the Record, and declassified documents, Read the latest news about and from the IC, Learn about how we work, IC members, and oversight. The key themes discussed above appear across these sections. %PDF-1.7
The National Intelligence Council has released the seventh edition of its quadrennial Global Trends report. For toy-related deaths and injuries, it is important to note that although a toy was associated with many of the incidents, The rapidly . This publication helps anticipate where the world will be: socially, politically, technologically, and culturally over the next few decades. (GLOBAL TRENDS 2040 OVERVIEW - Click image to enlarge) This publication covers global megatrends for the next 20 years and how they will affect the United States. 79 Latin America: More Prosperous but Inherently Fragile 81 The Impact of New Technologies 83 Information Technologies 83 AUTOMATION AND MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGIES 87 Resource Technologies 90 Health Technologies 95 The Role of the United States 98 Steady US Role 98 Multiple Potential Scenarios for the United States' Global Role 101 Alternative Worlds 107 Stalled Engines 110 FUSION 116 Gini-out-of-the-Bottle 122 Nonstate World 128 Acknowledgements 134 GT2030 Blog References 137 Audience: Appropriate for anyone, from businesses to banks, government agencies to start-ups, the technology sector to the teaching sector, and more. |M$q
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