page: {requestId: "VY48922VSG2N858NAE2B", meaningful: "interactive"} if (window.ue && window.ue.tag) { window.ue.tag('author:list:signed_out', ue.main_scope);window.ue.tag('author:list:signed_out:mobileWeb', ue.main_scope); } if (a[a9]) return; Included herein is a discussion of my predictions from The Age of Intelligent Machines (which I wrote in the 1980s), all 147 predictions for 2009 in The Age of Spiritual Machines (which I wrote in the 1990s), plus others. var gptAdSlots = gptAdSlots || []; In his optimistic book the Singularity Is Near Kurzweil explains that civilization will soon achieve new heights of intelligence, material progress, and longevity. var ue_furl = "fls-na.amazon.com"; While this book focuses on the future of technology and the human race as did The Age of Intelligent Machines and The Age of Spiritual Machines, Kurzweil makes very few concrete, short-term predictions in The Singularity Is Near, though longer-term visions are present in abundance. gads.type = "text/javascript"; 2011/10/1. Please include what you were doing when this page came up and the Cloudflare Ray ID found at the bottom of this page. } catch (err) { var ue_sn = "www.goodreads.com"; return cookiePair[1]; Ubiquitous Wifi Access By 2019, almost everyone will be able to access wireless internet from almost anywhere on Earth at all times. For more information about the GF2045 congress, please visit http://www.GF2045.com. } apstag.init({ Click to reveal a[a9]._Q.push([c, r]) Please include what you were doing when this page came up and the Cloudflare Ray ID found at the bottom of this page. October 13, 2015. . will surpass human intelligence in his New York Times best seller The Singularity is Near, Amazons #1 book in science and philosophy. g.parentNode.insertBefore(A, g) See other items. 222.122.42.217 "https://":"http://";i+=f?g:k;i+=j;i+=h;c(i)}if(!e.ue_inline){if(a.loadUEFull){a.loadUEFull()}else{b()}}a.uels=c;e.ue=a})(window,document); Ray Kurzweil is one of the world's leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a thirty-year track record of accurate predictions. Read more about this topic: Ray Kurzweil, The Brahmins say that in their books there are many predictions of times in which it will rain. googletag.pubads().collapseEmptyDivs(true); 8. }; In the book Kurzweil also extrapolated preexisting trends in the improvement of computer chess software performance to predict correctly that computers would beat the best human players by 1998, and most likely in that year. A.async = !0; MP3 CD. In addition to radical life extension, were going to have radical life expansion, were going to have millions of virtual environments to explore, were going to literally expand our brains.. !function(){function n(n,t){var r=i(n);return t&&(r=r("instance",t)),r}var r=[],c=0,i=function(t){return function(){var n=c++;return r.push([t,[].slice.call(arguments,0),n,{time:Date.now()}]),i(n)}};n._s=r,this.csa=n}(); //]]> ISBN9787111358893. In . googletag.pubads().setTargeting("author", [47744]); "Events.SushiEndpoint": "https://unagi.amazon.com/1/events/com.amazon.csm.csa.prod", --Janet Maslin, The New York Times Artfully envisions a breathtakingly better world. The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near. (function(e){var c=e;var a=c.ue||{};a.main_scope="mainscopecsm";a.q=[];a.t0=c.ue_t0||+new Date();a.d=g;function g(h){return +new Date()-(h?0:a.t0)}function d(h){return function(){a.q.push({n:h,a:arguments,t:a.d()})}}function b(m,l,h,j,i){var k={m:m,f:l,l:h,c:""+j,err:i,fromOnError:1,args:arguments};c.ueLogError(k);return false}b.skipTrace=1;e.onerror=b;function f(){c.uex("ld")}if(e.addEventListener){e.addEventListener("load",f,false)}else{if(e.attachEvent){e.attachEvent("onload",f)}}a.tag=d("tag");a.log=d("log");a.reset=d("rst");c.ue_csm=c;c.ue=a;c.ueLogError=d("err");c.ues=d("ues");c.uet=d("uet");c.uex=d("uex");c.uet("ue")})(window);(function(e,d){var a=e.ue||{};function c(g){if(!g){return}var f=d.head||d.getElementsByTagName("head")[0]||d.documentElement,h=d.createElement("script");h.async="async";h.src=g;f.insertBefore(h,f.firstChild)}function b(){var k=e.ue_cdn||"z-ecx.images-amazon.com",g=e.ue_cdns||"images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com",j="/images/G/01/csminstrumentation/",h=e.ue_file||"ue-full-11e51f253e8ad9d145f4ed644b40f692._V1_.js",f,i;if(h.indexOf("NSTRUMENTATION_FIL")>=0){return}if("ue_https" in e){f=e.ue_https}else{f=e.location&&e.location.protocol=="https:"?1:0}i=f? googletag.pubads().enableAsyncRendering(); The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology is a 2005 non-fiction book about artificial intelligence and the future of humanity by inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil . pubID: '3211', adServer: 'googletag', bidTimeout: 4e3, params: { aps_privacy: '1YN' } In 2023, Ray has predicted that 10 16 calculations (10 petaFLOPS) per secondroughly the equivalent of one human brainwill cost $1,000. q("f", arguments) function getCookieWithoutJQuery(name) { return null; _Q: [] }); var cookies = document.cookie.split('; '); Predicts that Artificial Intelligence would outsmart the human brain in computational capabilities by mid-21st century. url = "https://s.gr-assets.com/assets/mobile/phone_images-9e9093f0cfddba8c2b1e815375d976a3.css"; var node = document.getElementsByTagName("script")[0]; He discussed the singularity with Vice Magazine in April 2009. Ray Kurzweil is the inventor of . Virtually Human: The Promiseand the Perilof Digital Immorta Are We Spiritual Machines? In October 2010, Kurzweil released his report, "How My Predictions Are Faring" in PDF format, analyzing the predictions he made in his book The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990), The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999) and The Singularity is Near (2005). }("apstag", window, document, "script", "//c.amazon-adsystem.com/aax2/apstag.js"); stylesheet.href = url; This website is using a security service to protect itself from online attacks. Ray Kurzweil is one of the world's leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a thirty-year track record of accurate predictions. var cookie = cookies[i]; Called "the restless genius" by The Wall Street Journal and "the ultimate thinking machine" by Forbes magazine, Kurzweil was selected as one of the top entrepreneurs by Inc . googletag.cmd.push(function() { init: function() { or individuals are automatically calcuated into his predictions. The uncanny accuracy of Ray Kurzweil's predictions in his booksas well as his vision for what is still to comehas inspired many in our industry. Kurzweil believes evolution provides evidence that humans will one day create machines more intelligent than they are. } [CDATA[ } }); Building on Ithiel de Sola Pool's "Technologies of Freedom" (1983), Kurzweil claims to have forecast the demise of the Soviet Union due to new technologies such as cellular phones and fax machines disempowering authoritarian governments by removing state control over the flow of information. if (window.Mobvious === undefined) { During the succeeding decade many of Kurzweil's predictions about technological advancements have been borne out, and their viability has become familiar to the public through such now commonplace concepts as AI, intelligent . node.parentNode.insertBefore(gads, node); 4.50. Price: US $74.99. ideadude 2 yr. ago The best per-petaflop cost I could find are these DGX A100 systems by Nvidia. Your IP: It was written from 1986 to 1989 and published in 1990. googletag.pubads().setTargeting("surface", "mw"); The book builds on the ideas introduced in Kurzweil's previous books, The Age of Intelligent Machines (1990) and The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999). }, In his 1993 book, The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life, he discusses his discoveries concerning diet and exercise, and urges readers to reduce fat consumption to no more than ten percent of total calorie intake. Well be routinely able to change our bodies very quickly, as well as our environments in virtual reality, but it will feel very real. He invites participants to the second international Global Future 2045 congress (June 2013) http://www.GF2045.com. The "ultimate thinking machine" ("Forbes")--whose predictions for the future are startling, provocative, and closer to fruition than one might think--takes a serious and surprising look at the future that reads like great science fiction and offers a framework for envisioning the 21st century. In 2008, Ray Kurzweil said in an expert panel in the National Academy of Engineering that solar power will scale up to produce all the energy needs of Earth's people in 20 years. The well-received book included a number of predictions about the development of information technology. } Personal AI assistants are in widespread use. Performance & security by Cloudflare. But press those books as strongly as you can, you can not get out of them a drop of water. var gads = document.createElement("script"); The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life: How to Reduce Fat in You After Shock: The Worlds Foremost Futurists Reflect on 50 Yea Colecia de Povestiri tiinifico-Fantastice (CPSF A #4), Merge | The closing gap between technology and us, Avatar Dreams: Science Fiction Visions of Avatar Technology, Merge: The Closing Between Technology and Us. Ray Kurzweil Predictions for the future of Technology. gads.src = (useSSL ? Since it was first published in 2005, Ray Kurzweil's The Singularity Is Near and its vision of the future have been influential in spawning a worldwide . }); } } else { var ue_mid = "A1PQBFHBHS6YH1"; $8.99 1 Used from $8.99. There are several actions that could trigger this block including submitting a certain word or phrase, a SQL command or malformed data. var isRetina = window.devicePixelRatio >= 2; // retina display Many of the following predictions were made by Kurzweil in his books between 1999 and 2005. A.src = t; As he points out himself, many of them have already come true. Published on Jun 10, 2015. shelved 109,844 times Showing 30 distinct works. if (window.csa) { }, }()); Ray Kurzweil . HC, Dust jacket) Condition: Very Good. "ebfg_email", "ebfg_sms"]; Perhaps most significantly, Kurzweil foresaw the explosive growth in worldwide Internet use that began in the 1990s. In this video Ray Kurzweil discusses his predictions about radical life extension, singularity, life expansion and the imminence of physical immortality. A world-class prolific inventor and leading futurist author, the restless genius (Wall Street Journal) points to 2045 for the technological singularity when A.I. Buy It Now. // Ray Kurzweil, the bold futurist and author of the New York Times bestseller The Singularity Is Near, is arguably today's most influential technological visionary. Source: The dawn of the singularity, a visual timeline of Ray Kurzweil's predictions | KurzweilAI q("i", arguments) var ue_id = "VY48922VSG2N858NAE2B"; It was written from 1986 to 1989 and published in 1990. [CDATA[ // 213.251.184.173 fetchBids: function() { function isShowingBuyableFeatures() { var sourcesToHideBuyFeatures = ["ebfg_gr", "ebfg_fb", "ebfg_fbm", "ebfg_tw", Paperback. For over 30 years best-selling author, inventor, and futurist Ray Kurzweil has been one of the most respected and provocative advocates of the role of tech in our future. He presents his law of accelerating returns to explain why "key events" happen more frequently as time marches on. The third and final section of the book is devoted to elucidating the specific course of technological advancements Kurzweil predicts the world will experience over the next century. googletag.pubads().setTargeting("gr_author", "false"); Ray Kurzweil, byname of Raymond Kurzweil, (born February 12, 1948, Queens, New York, U.S.), American computer scientist and futurist who pioneered pattern-recognition technology and proselytized the inevitability of humanity's merger with the technology it created. [CDATA[ a[a9] = { , var ue_t0=window.ue_t0||+new Date(); Buy a cheap copy of The Singularity Is Near book by Ray Kurzweil. The Eternal E-Customer: How Emotionally Intelligent Interface Death and Anti-Death, Volume 7: Nine Hundred Years After St. A Chronicle of Ideas: A Guide for Superheroines (and Superher Tracking the acceleration of intelligence. googletag.enableServices(); })(); Kurzweil's first book, The Age of Intelligent Machines, presented his ideas about the future. //]]>, The Singularity is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology, How to Create a Mind: The Secret of Human Thought Revealed. A pioneering inventor and theorist, he has explored for decades how artificial intelligence . Additionally, Kurzweil claims to have correctly foreseen that the preferred mode of Internet access would inevitably be through wireless systems, and he was also correct to estimate that the latter would become practical for widespread use in the early 21st century. var e = document.createElement("script"); e.src = "https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/41mrkPcyPwL.js"; document.head.appendChild(e); //]]> Kurzweil also claims to have accurately forecast that, by the end of the 1990s, many documents would exist solely in computers and on the Internet, and that they would commonly be embedded with sounds, animations, and videos that would inhibit their transfer to paper format. ! This is a wonderful, mind blowing book from a highly reputable source. "ObfuscatedMarketplaceId": "A1PQBFHBHS6YH1" .__prevent_empty_css_file{width:0}.__prevent_empty_css_file{width:0}.__prevent_empty_css_file{width:0}.__prevent_empty_css_file{width:0}.__prevent_empty_css_file{width:0}.authorBooksMeta{color:#999999;font-family:"Lato", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif;border-bottom:1px solid #CCCCCC;font-size:11px;padding:0 10px 10px}.authorBooksMeta a{color:#00635D}.authorBooksTotalReviewCount:before,.authorBooksTotalRatingCount:before{content:"\00b7"}.pageTitle{padding:0 10px;padding-top:10px;margin-bottom:0} Now a director of engineering at Google, he has made 147 predictions since the 1990s, and has maintained an astonishing 86% accuracy rate. A = p.createElement(s); Moreover, he claims to have foreseen that cellular phones would grow in popularity while shrinking in size for the foreseeable future. The following predictions were made by Ray Kurzweil in his book The Singularity Is Near.. Kurzweil's book Spiritual Machines significantly impacted my life and changed my career trajectory. From my perspective, the Singularity is a future period during which the pace In a world of full of chaos and calamity, this book reminds us of the miracle that ideas, innovation, and implementation can bring out to solve problems and improve life. So you can not get out of all the books that contain the best precepts the smallest good deed.Leo Tolstoy (18281910). You can email the site owner to let them know you were blocked. He's looking at the net effect of progress (spurned primarily through economics and economic . g = p.getElementsByTagName(s)[0]; 14 ratings2 reviews. Removing this book will also remove your associated ratings, reviews, and reading sessions. function q(c, r) { //
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