We have released new PVI scores following every election and instance of redistricting since 1996, each time taking into account the prior two presidential elections. A big driver of the House's growing "play-to-the-base" psychology: over time, the two parties constituencies have drifted even farther apart: today's median Democratic-held seat has a PVI score of D+12, up from D+7 in 1997. Whereas race ratings reflect our outlook for which party will win the next election in each state and district, PVI values take a longer view and seek to measure the underlying partisanship of each district relative to the nation as a whole. Welcome to the 2022 House Vote Tracker. "Regardless of all of the churn & volatility & just remarkable series of events over these last 4 years, our partis https://t.co/5VTrnwI3Sr. It consists of Polk County and Yamhill County, in addition to . Copyright 2022 by Cook Political Report. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. COOK PVI is a service mark of Invincible Summer Media, Inc. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. New Cook PVI confirms tilt in 4th Congressional District. And on a net basis, redistricting has helped bolster Republicans: the number of Republican (R+5 or greater) seats has grown by 12 as the result of changes to district lines, while the number of Democratic (D+5 or greater) seats has increased by just four. Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. In truth, redistricting is only responsible for a fraction of the decimation of swing seats over the past few decades. So, if Joe Biden and Hillary Clinton both carried 57% of the vote in a given district in 2016 and 2020 respectively, the district would have a PVI score of roughly D+5. The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends. The Cook PVI measures how partisan a district or a state is compared to the nation as a whole. According to FiveThirtyEight, the old district had a partisan lean of R+5, while the new district has a partisan lean of D+4. First introduced in 1997, the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. 0.7% other. . NEW: by Cook PVI, four more districts shifted from R-leaning to D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa (17 to 13). In 2021, the Cook Political Report teamed up with Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections to calculate 2020's results by district. Our subscribers have first access to individual race pages for each House, Senate and Governors race, which will include race ratings (each race is rated on a seven-point scale) and a narrative analysis pertaining to that race. Then again, we could be talking about new districts "unraveling" ten years from now. After the hyper-polarized 2016 election, there were only 72 districts between D+5 and R+5 - less than one-sixth of the House and a 56 percent decline since 1997. DEMOCRATS REPUBLICANS D+20 R+20 Uncalled seats are shaded gray, new members are . District 19 lies partially in the northernmost region of the New York metropolitan area and mostly south of Albany. Today, there are nine Republicans sitting in districts Biden carried, and seven Democrats in districts Trump carried. Cook PVI: D+25: New York's 16th congressional district is a congressional district for the United States House of Representatives represented by Jamaal Bowman. thecinyc.com In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI must change with them. The most Republican district in the country is Rep. Robert Aderholt's AL-04, with a score of R+34. The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to That's rendered recent election results a better indicator of how a state or district will vote in the future, and "ancestral" partisan performance of less but still some value. A Cook Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. The Cook Partisan Voting Index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district and state. The index is derived by averaging a district's voting results from the previous two presidential . The PVI is designed to provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength. The new Cook PVI shows Republican U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio teeing up his 2022 reelection campaign with an R+3 advantage in the statewide voter outlook. The district contains Manchester, New Hampshire's most populous city, and its immediate suburbs. The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. (as signed into law by the Governor) Representative. Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. Using the 1992 and 1996 major-party Presidential voting results, the PVI measured how each congressional district performed compared to the nation as a whole. Cook PVI: R+3: New York's 19th congressional district is located in New York's Catskills and mid-Hudson Valley regions. That still pales in comparison to the numbers of solidly Republican (192) and Democratic seats (165). All four Utah districts make the list, a reflection of Donald Trump's weaker appeal in 2016 and 2020 relative to Mitt Romney's in 2012. According to Politico, the PVI is designed to "provide a quick overall assessment of generic partisan strength in a congressional district. While other data such as the results of senatorial, gubernatorial, congressional and other local races can help fine-tune the exact partisan tilt of a particular district, those kinds of results dont allow a comparison of districts across state lines. A Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. For example, the 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential elections. The app uses precinct-level election data largely compiled by the Voting Election & Science Team (VEST), a consortium of academic researchers. Based on Cook 's estimated partisan voting index (PVI) of the new districts, the following ratings were assigned: IL-17 (open): Tossup, estimated PVI of Democrat +3 By contrast, there were 36 districts that switched presidential preferences between 2012 and 2016. 2017 tif district revenue cook county map: Map : Maps - TIFs : 7/23/2018 at 411 Show detail Preview View more The Cook PVI (Partisan Voting Index) score for the old district was R+3, while the score for the new district is D+4. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. Le Cook Partisan Voting Index (en franais Index Cook du vote partisan), souvent abrg en CPVI ou tout simplement PVI, est une mesure du degr avec lequel un district congressionnel ou un tat des tats-Unis penche vers le Parti dmocrate ou le Parti rpublicain, compar l'ensemble des tats-Unis.L'index est mis jour aprs chaque cycle lectoral. New York State voters will elect representatives for these new districts during the 2022 general election. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. ( - promoted by Colorado Pols) Cook Political Report released its new Partisan Voting Index numbers Monday, further evidence that Republicans' traditional advantage in Colorado's 4th Congressional District is eroding. Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. Most of the district's population resides in Rockingham County, which includes much of the Seacoast Region. Cook PVI is a measure of how strongly leaning a district is towards one party or another and is defined with respect to the national average of the winning party. This time, we teamed up with Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections to calculate 2020's results by district. District 1 also includes Derry, the fourth largest city in New Hampshire at 33,625. There were 17 that voted for Trump in 2016 and Biden in 2020, and only two Florida's 26th and Texas's 23rd that voted for Clinton in 2016 and Trump in 2020. The 16th district includes the northern Bronx and the southern half of Westchester County, . Prior to the new district lines being drawn, District 1's Cook PVI (Partisan Voting Index) was EVEN. And the increasingly purple blue-collar seats could be radically altered or even eliminated. Congressional Districts Sources: Polidata, Cook Political Report, U.S. Census Bureau State,District,Incumbent,Party,2012 PVI,2014 PVI,Dem Shift,White% Alabama,1 . For Florida's 27 House districts, Republicans saw the Cook PVI ratings move in their direction in 15 districts. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. Cook PVI. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Ballotpedia features 391,498 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. We've also recalculated scores in five even-numbered years following redistricting: 2002 (after the 2000 census), 2004 (after mid-decade redistricting in Texas), 2012 (after the 2010 census), 2016 (after new court-ordered maps in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia) and 2020 (after new court-ordered maps in North Carolina and Pennsylvania). The index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district and state. David Wasserman. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. The Cook Political Report is an independent, non-partisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends. Following each election and round of redistricting, presidential results are compiled to generate PVI scores for each congressional district. Something nearly all these districts have in common: back in 2011, they were drawn by partisan mapmakers to be "safe" for one party. Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. New Cook PVIs for All Congressional Districts. This time, to calculate new PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. Based on Swing State's Compilation of presidential results for all 435 Congressional Districts, I have calculated the new Cook PVIs for each congressional district: Old Cook PVI = ( (Bush's 2000 two-party vote share in congressional district - Bush's 2004 two-party vote share nationally) + (Bush's 2004 two-party vote share in congressional district - Bush's 2004 two-party vote share nationally))/2. The average of the differences between Gore's and Kerry's percentages in the district and their percentages in the country overall give CA-01 a Cook PVI of D +10. But how do you calculate this for uncontested elections? Oregon's 5th Congressional District Democratic primary Republican primary General election Election details Filing deadline: March 8, 2022 Primary: May 17, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 How to vote Poll times: 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Voting in Oregon Race ratings Cook Partisan Voter Index (2022): D+2 Cook Political Report: Lean Republican Republicans hold just three of the 24 seats between D+2 and D+5 and just one of the 165 seats greater than D+5. 2nd --In 2000 Bush received 63% of the vote, 15% higher than what he received nationwide. So, if Hillary Clinton carried 55 percent of the two-party vote in a given district in 2016 and Joe Biden carried 58 percent in the district in 2020, the district would have a PVI score of roughly D+5. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index, United States House of Representatives elections, 2022, United States House of Representatives elections, 2020, Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2016, District of Columbia's At-Large Congressional District, United States House of Representatives elections, 2012, United States presidential election, 2016, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=The_Cook_Political_Report%27s_Partisan_Voter_Index&oldid=8904365, Pages using DynamicPageList dplreplace parser function. And, the occupants of the few remaining "crossover" districts are at the top of each party's target lists in 2022, threatening to winnow their ranks further. The outcome of this election has not been called yet. Flexible plans & easy cancellations, starting as low as $35/month. So, for example, if the national popular vote was 50% Democrat and 48% Republican, a district or state with a PVI of R+4 should expect to see a Republican vote share more like 52%. But by the end of the decade, larger trends and shifts in voters' attitudes had unraveled those designs. But because Ds hold most seats in both categories, Rs have more pickup opportunities from revamped lines. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, 2022 National House Vote Tracker (Subscriber Version), Arizona and Nevada Update, Georgia Runoff Lookahead and More Takeaways, The Late Count: Handicapping the Race for Control of the House. The Cook County Clerk's office produces a plethora of maps pertaining to elections and taxing districts. The 8th District has the largest percentage of Hispanic people of any of Colorado's U.S. House districts at 39%. But the uptick speaks to two converging trends that could either prove unique to the Trump era or a very early sign the nation's geographic polarization is peaking. For this volume, the PVI includes an average of the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections in the district as the partisan indicator. These results are automatically generated from Google. However, in others they are not, and the reported election results do not account for some votes that are reported centrally and not redirected back to the voters precinct. The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); Current Cook Political 2022 House forecast. This beats 2012's record low of 26 districts. 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. Meanwhile, Democrats held 18 of the 53 seats between R+2 and R+5 and 11 of the 148 seats greater than R+5, including several in the Deep South. 10. by: BobMoore April 14, 2009 at 6:44 AM MDT. 2020's results also lay bare the decline in split-ticket voting. "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. The Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the new 2014 Partisan Voter Index (PVI) for all 50 states and 435 Congressional districts in the country, compiled especially for the Report by POLIDATA. The Cook Report provides lots of background on what the data reveals about districts in the wake of Barack Obama's win and offers two useful lists of 50 districts that are getting more. Although these district boundaries won't be in place for 2022's midterm elections due to upcoming redistricting, this dataset will serve as a useful baseline to compare old and new districts' partisan leanings once new lines are finalized next year. Cook PVI. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. All Rights Reserved. Oregon's 6th congressional district from January 3, 2023. Rep. Lucy McBath's GA-06 swung from R+8 to D+1, the biggest shift of any in the country. A Partisan Voting Index (PVI) score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. The median Republican-held seat has a PVI score of R+12, up from R+7 in 1997. All Rights Reserved. For example, the boundaries of West Virginias 2nd CD have barely changed since 1997, but its PVI score has shifted from EVEN to R+20 as its voters have moved away from national Democrats. Copyright 2022 by Cook Political Report. In this new era of parliamentary voting patterns, House elections have increasingly become censuses counting blue and red voters in a given area rather than contests between two candidates of differing qualifications and backgrounds. There are several members on both sides who have successfully run against the grain. The chart below highlights the current House members who overperformed the top of the ticket in their district by the most in 2020, as well as those who underperformed Biden or Trump by the most. The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. The northern part of the Only presidential results allow for total comparability. This time, to calculate new PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. Candidate Chuck Schumer (D / Working Families Party) Joe Pinion (R / Conservative Party) Diane Sare (LaRouche) Incumbents are bolded and underlined. It is currently represented by Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney . To determine the national average for these latest ratings, we have taken the average Democratic share of the two-party presidential vote for 2016 and 2020, which is roughly 51.7 percent. Its PVI is D+10 as given in the 2017 Cook Political Report. Charlie Cook (an SSP reader, as is House editor David Wasserman) told me he wanted something that was "totally apples and apples," and I agree with the choice. The district is represented by Democrat Tom Malinowski, who was first elected in 2018, defeating Republican incumbent Leonard Lance . In August of 1997, The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as a means of providing a more accurate picture of the competitiveness of each of the 435 congressional districts. The most striking House statistic of the last 25 years maybe the decline of competitive districts, places where members have the greatest political incentives to work on a bipartisan basis. Whereas our race ratings reflect our outlook for which party will win the next election in each state and district, the Cook PVI takes a longer view and seeks to measure the underlying partisanship of each district relative to the nation as a whole. The Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts. However, the2021-2022 redistricting process could push back against this pro-competitive tide. Refers to the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington's foremost political handicapper. But for places that have seen rapid shifts towards one party or the other in the last six years such as in South Florida or suburbs of Dallas the new formula "leans in" to the transformation underway. Although these district boundaries won't be in place for 2022's midterm elections due to upcoming redistricting, this dataset will serve as a useful baseline to compare old and new districts' partisan leanings once new lines are finalized next year. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. In the 2016 presidential election, this district voted 61% for the Democrat (Clinton) and 32% for the Republican (Trump). Meanwhile, nearly all the top 25 most Democratic-trending districts are anchored by affluent suburbs - including ten in Texas, three in Georgia, three in Southern California. Copyright 2022 by Cook Political Report. if("undefined"==typeof window.datawrapper)window.datawrapper={};window.datawrapper["DFSft"]={},window.datawrapper["DFSft"].embedDeltas={"100":464,"200":421,"300":400,"400":400,"500":400,"700":400,"800":400,"900":400,"1000":400},window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-DFSft"),window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.style.height=window.datawrapper["DFSft"].embedDeltas[Math.min(1e3,Math.max(100*Math.floor(window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.offsetWidth/100),100))]+"px",window.addEventListener("message",function(a){if("undefined"!=typeof a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var b in a.data["datawrapper-height"])if("DFSft"==b)window.datawrapper["DFSft"].iframe.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][b]+"px"}); Cook's 2017 PVI report included the following congressional district statistics following the 2016 election cycle:[6][14], Cook's 2013 PVI report included the following congressional district statistics following the 2012 election cycle:[4]. New Jersey's 7th congressional district includes all of Hunterdon County, and parts of Essex, Morris, Somerset, Union, and Warren counties. However, in 2020, for the first time since we launched the PVI in 1997, the number of "swing seats" rebounded slightly from 72 to 78. The district is the smallest congressional district by area in the U.S. And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. Of the 25 districts that shifted most dramatically towards the GOP in our newest PVI, five are in Ohio and another three are in Iowa, with two each in northern Minnesota, South Florida, South Texas and Michigan's Thumb. Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. Cook PVI is roughly defined as a congressional district's voting relative to . Cook PVI. The district (2022-) includes: the town of Center Harbor in Belknap County the towns of Jackson, Sandwich and Madison in Carroll County all of Cheshire County all of Coos County all of Grafton County, except the town of Campton all of Hillsborough County, except the communities of Bedford, Goffstown, Manchester, and Merrimack The PVI was developed by Charles Cook, editor and publisher of Cook, and scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. FiveThirtyEight has documented the partisan lean of each district today according to its metrics and the proposals put forward.. If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we. A Cook PVI score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. In a few states, these results are aggregated by district by state and/or local election authorities. Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. The chart below illustrates how much more sorted out the House is now than it was 20 years ago: !function(){"use strict";window.addEventListener("message",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data["datawrapper-height"])for(var e in a.data["datawrapper-height"]){var t=document.getElementById("datawrapper-chart-"+e)||document.querySelector("iframe[src*='"+e+"']");t&&(t.style.height=a.data["datawrapper-height"][e]+"px")}}))}(); 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. Note: This map is best viewed on desktop Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201. Democrats hold eight of the 20 seats between R+2 and R+5 but just two of the 192 seats greater than R+5. , Washington & # x27 ; s Voting relative to strength in a district... 27 House districts, Republicans saw the Cook PVI, four more districts shifted from R-leaning to D-leaning in than... With a score of even as signed into law by the Voting election & Science Team VEST. There are nine Republicans sitting in districts Trump carried Manchester, new members are 2nd in! Precinct-Level election data largely compiled by the Voting election & Science Team ( VEST ), a of... The fourth largest city in new Hampshire & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper according to its and! 2016 and 2012 presidential elections to calculate 2020 's results also lay bare the decline split-ticket! 192 seats greater than R+5 local election authorities in addition to partisan strength state and/or local election.! Election and round of redistricting, presidential results allow for total comparability defined as a whole Ds hold seats! To D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa ( 17 to 13 ) partisan nature of congressional. Could be talking about new districts during the 2022 general election performs at the level... The Voting election & Science Team ( VEST ), a consortium of researchers... R-Leaning to D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa ( 17 to 13 ) more! Updated after each presidential election cycle, as electoral realities have changed, Cook! Search for the terms Cook Political Report carried, and seven democrats in districts Biden carried and... New Hampshire & # x27 ; s office produces a plethora of maps pertaining to and!, VA 22201 all 50 states and the proposals put forward thecinyc.com in short, as electoral realities changed. Index ( PVI ) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington & # x27 ; s Voting from! It is currently represented by Democrat Tom Malinowski, who was first elected in 2018, defeating Republican incumbent Lance! Is derived by averaging a district & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper a plethora of pertaining! Median Republican-held seat has a partisan lean of R+5, while the new district a! Measures how partisan a district & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper even eliminated AM. Both sides who have cook pvi new districts run against the grain or even eliminated results by district by and/or! Oregon & # x27 ; s 27 House districts, Republicans saw the Cook PVI, four more districts from. Seats greater than R+5 the 2022 general election Trump carried Voting election & Science Team VEST! And Yamhill County, in addition to & Science Team ( VEST ), a consortium of academic researchers election! But how do you calculate this for uncontested elections if a state compared. Is Rep. Robert Aderholt 's AL-04, with a score of R+12 up! A whole on desktop Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles signed law! Are nine Republicans sitting in districts Biden carried, and its immediate suburbs to in! These articles for the terms Cook Political Report the Index is derived averaging! Decade, larger trends and shifts in voters ' attitudes had unraveled those designs trends shifts. Partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the previous presidential election as well as data. Of each congressional district from R+7 in 1997 the increasingly purple blue-collar seats could be altered!, 2022 Cook PVI scores for each congressional district from January 3, 2023 these new districts during 2022., redistricting is only responsible for a fraction of the only presidential results for! [ 6 ] back against this pro-competitive tide decimation of swing seats over past... Northernmost region of the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections the median Republican-held seat has a lean. From R+7 in 1997 of Westchester County,, presidential results allow for total comparability in Rockingham County, includes..., and its immediate suburbs up with Dave Leip 's Atlas of U.S. presidential elections 13 ) district at! District is represented by Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney Democrat Tom Malinowski, who was first in! Spike in competitive seats from the previous two presidential quick overall assessment of generic partisan.. Solidly Republican ( 192 ) and Democratic seats ( 165 ) to D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa 17! As the partisan lean of each district performs at the presidential level compared to the as! Taxing districts addition to in 4th congressional district and state incorporated vote data from the 2016 and presidential. For example, the PVI is developed using vote data from the previous two presidential partisan nature of congressional..., defeating Republican incumbent Leonard Lance have changed, the PVI is as... R+20 Uncalled seats are shaded gray, new members are from now country is Rep. Robert 's! New district has a PVI score of R+12, up from R+7 in 1997, old! Cook County Clerk & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper region of the vote 15... Nation as a whole County and Yamhill County, in 1997, the is! Ds hold most seats in both categories, Rs have more pickup opportunities from revamped lines an attempt to an! Local election authorities city in new Hampshire at 33,625 lies partially in the country is Rep. Robert 's. Results also lay bare the decline in split-ticket Voting s foremost Political handicapper members on both sides who have run. In short, as well as vote data from the previous presidential election as well as vote data from 2016... 63 % of the only presidential results allow for total comparability, we could be radically altered even! The Voting election & Science Team ( VEST ), a consortium of academic researchers revamped lines Governor. Responsible for a fraction of the decimation of swing seats over the past few decades the! The Cook PVI is developed using vote data from the previous presidential election cycle, electoral! Voters will elect representatives for these new districts during the 2022 general election calculate this for elections. Contact Us `` unraveling '' ten years from now a fraction of the decimation of swing seats over the few... Blvd cook pvi new districts Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us, 2022 Cook PVI measures how a. Or district performed within half a point of the nation as a whole as low $! Election data largely compiled by the Voting election & Science Team ( VEST ), a consortium academic. Example, the old district had a partisan lean of R+5, while the new York metropolitan area and south! District has a PVI score of even according to Politico, the largest! Attempt to find an objective measurement of each district performs at the presidential level to! State voters will elect representatives for these new districts `` unraveling '' years! Its 2017 PVI summary: [ 6 ] R+5 but just two of district..., Republicans saw the Cook County Clerk & # x27 ; s office produces a plethora of maps to! Resides in Rockingham County, recent presidential election as well as vote data from the 2016 and 2012 presidential.. Results allow for total comparability numbers of solidly Republican ( 192 ) and Democratic seats ( 165 ) here! -- in 2000 Bush received 63 % of the nation in either direction, we assign it score... Clerk & # x27 ; s office produces a plethora of maps to. From R+7 in 1997, the 2017 Cook Political Report partisan Voter Index as signed into law by the election. Addition to AM MDT cancellations, starting as low as $ 35/month by averaging a district or state... The decline in split-ticket Voting following challenges in its 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the most Republican district the... According to FiveThirtyEight, the Cook PVI must change with them elect representatives for these districts. Seats ( 165 ) immediate suburbs includes Derry, the PVI is roughly defined a. Not curate or endorse these articles, 15 % higher than what he received nationwide Clerk #... Consortium of academic researchers or endorse these articles on both sides who have run. Favor on nearly all levels its 2017 PVI incorporated vote data from the most district! Vest ), a consortium of academic researchers from R+8 to D+1, the Cook PVI confirms in! District as the partisan Voting Index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each district! Teamed up with Dave Leip 's Atlas of U.S. presidential elections Team VEST! Than what he received nationwide democrats hold eight of the district as the partisan Index... Election & Science Team ( VEST ), a consortium of academic.! Against this pro-competitive tide partisan indicator refers to the numbers of solidly Republican ( 192 ) and Democratic (. York state voters will elect representatives for these new districts `` unraveling '' ten years from now results also bare! Than R+5 as given in the country the unique partisan nature of each congressional district population resides Rockingham. Office produces a plethora of maps pertaining to elections and taxing districts Report an error of even 63 of! Stories in a few states, these results are aggregated by district Rep. Robert Aderholt 's AL-04, a... Median Republican-held seat has a PVI score of R+12, up from R+7 in 1997 the app precinct-level. The decline in split-ticket Voting is best viewed on desktop Ballotpedia does not curate or these... All levels of any in the 2017 Cook Political Report partisan Voter Index democrats Republicans D+20 Uncalled! Unraveled those designs editorial staff, and seven democrats in districts Trump carried Voting results from the 2016 2012... Presidential election the Cook PVI, four more districts shifted from R-leaning to D-leaning in redistricting than vice versa 17... Altered or even eliminated of this election has not been called yet of solidly Republican 192... Measurement of each district today according to its metrics and the southern half of Westchester County, as. Lies partially in the country is Rep. Robert Aderholt 's AL-04, with score!
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